Well respected uberblogger Bob Scoble wrote "here’s why Android is getting received with a yawn from me:"
Scoble is much mistaken. android is the most exciting platform for mobile development. Here's why he is so wrong.
It was released without a personal approach.
Hmm ... of maybe Goog needs another PR firm. I dont know. Anyway, this is secondary to the issue of whether the SDK willl enable great apps.
This stuff is still vaporware.
This is false. They announced availability of the SDK. Which is available now! SDKs always precede product launches. Developers need a little time to build for the platform. The only real issue is that devs can't yet get the prototype devices to test and build apps with. Thats a problem.
The UI looks confused.
Nonsense. The all touch approach of the iPhone is not best for all devices. For example, my dad would struggle to make calls with an iPhone. It would take a little instruction before he would get it. No so with most of the cell phones on the market today. In fact, the interface of the cell phone is ideal for its main purpose ... making calls!
"No real “love” for developers
Heck, I don’t know of a single developer who has had his/her hands on Android."
So what ... they didnt give you or your friends a prototype. This is unrelated to the quality of the platform and SDK.
"Heck, remember Facebook? Go back and see when I got excited by Facebook. It was two weeks after the F8 platform announcement. Why then? Because I saw that iLike got six million users in two weeks and was staying up. So, that communicated two things to me: 1. that the platform attracted interesting developers. 2. that Facebook was well enough architected to stay up, even under pretty dramatic load. Android is a LONG way from demonstrating either of these things to the market."
My guess is that every large social networking site is already working building multiple apps for android. This is a perfect way to increase their respective user bases. This is a perfect fit for somebody like iLike. Imagine a mp3 player that includes a way to send recommendations to your friends. They can tailor their UI any way they wish and get their brand onto the player and not just the web site.
iLike's six million users and Facebooks huge traffic (200,ooo new signups per day) is nothing compared to the millions of cell users in the US alone (200 million is on total I've seen) not to mention the many millions of calls they handle each day. Don't forget Google.com is a bigger site than Facebook, myspace or iLike. So I think both Goog and the wireless operators can handle the traffic.
Google’s PR comes across as “only caring about big bangs.
Bob writes: "Last week I was in the Open Social press conference. Everyone else in the room worked for a big-name media outlet. Business Week. Wall Street Journal. Los Angeles Times. CNET. Barrons. etc. etc. They also kept me from using my video camera during the press call"
Sorry to hear that Bob ... next time ... at the consumer launch ... get there early so you get a good seat. This is unrelated to your point that this isn't going to compete with iPhone and other devices.
It looks too much like a poor copy of the iPhone.
No ... it looks like an iPhone killer. Two things make iPhone special. Great browser and multitouch. Thats it. Android already got the browser part nailed. Steve jobs is the king of 2% market share (both PC and phone) because he insists on appealing only to the high end. Imagine a range of phones from $25 (with contract) to $350 with a great browser, capable of running customized business apps, downloadable games (some free), maybe wifi, great third party apps (many free), SD storage and 3d graphics. This is the nighmare Steve Jobs, RIM, Palm and Windows mobile must be having about now.
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Tuesday, November 20, 2007
An android from Palm?
I seems a no-brainer. Palm needs a replacement for Palm OS, in fact, they've needed one for a long time. Android seems ideal. Free, open source and it enables those thousands of developers already writing for the Palm platform to write for Palm as well as a wider audience. Palm can refocus and compete as a hardware company. This is obviously their strategy since they've sold Palm OS itself. They already make well received windows mobile devices. They can still offer Palm OS if they want but their future has to be on another OS. Android seems ideal.
Saturday, November 17, 2007
andoid rules
My response to the news that ... Google, Sun headed for conflict over Android? is ... android rules iPhone drools
Just spent a little time, about a half an hour, watching the android developer videos on YouTube. A few emotions (mostly awe and excite) and ideas things ran through my mind.
First, android is exciting. Google has done what Apple initially refused to do. That is .. allow developers to write apps and provide an SDK and documentation. Not only that but apparently they've spent a lot of time trying to make the APIs easy (relatively easy) for Java developers to use. They've provided details on their architecture, APIs and software stack. This is the kind of detail and tooling corporate developers want and need to enable in-house customized business applications. Nearly every corporate employee has a company supplied blackberry, pager or cellphone. The janitorial/engineering employees, bus drivers, secretaries and all the executives have devices. Some have several. One doctor I know has a phone a company provided blackberry and an iPhone (that he purchased). Other than email he uses no company apps on either device. Blackberries are great but there aren't great tools or many built in capabilities.
In stark contrast there is android. Third party commercial apps are encouraged. Corporate apps are enabled. The prize money is an awesome idea. This is the phone I can write apps for. This is the phone I want to write apps for.
Second, this is the phone I want to use. I've been a Palm user since the PalmPilot. Whats wrong with the Treo, Centro and TX? Lousy web browser. At best, Pocket Explorer is only moderately better. Anroid provides a great browser, based on webkit, which Apple uses for iPhone, that features touch scrolling and zoom. Just like the iPhone. 3D graphics and even a web history interface that looks exactly like iPhones 'coverflow'. Its ironic that the proprietary features that make iPhone great are freely available to third party developers from Google. Jobs must be hoppin' mad. I dont want a iPhone. This is the phone I want to use.
For Microsoft this whole thing has got to be embarrassing. The rumors on the blogs say the MS has known about most of this for more than a year. Pocket 6 has only moderate improvements and is not competitive with android. Anders and Erik need to figure a way to make C# and VB devs productive in the mobile space. MS loves a fight and Google has fired a devastating volley of strategic missles at Pocket PC land. The Pocket platform is going the way of Palm OS unless MS responds.
Symbian. Time to go quietly into the night or perhaps go cower in a corner. LG and Motorola two of Nokias big partners in Symbian are signed up for android. Realistically, small marketshare OSs with few apps are not gonna play well here. Apps are what make platforms. Not the other way around.
Sun ... shut up. So Google didn't go through the JCP first. So what? Apps that run on Java and apps written in Java are your friend.
First, android is exciting. Google has done what Apple initially refused to do. That is .. allow developers to write apps and provide an SDK and documentation. Not only that but apparently they've spent a lot of time trying to make the APIs easy (relatively easy) for Java developers to use. They've provided details on their architecture, APIs and software stack. This is the kind of detail and tooling corporate developers want and need to enable in-house customized business applications. Nearly every corporate employee has a company supplied blackberry, pager or cellphone. The janitorial/engineering employees, bus drivers, secretaries and all the executives have devices. Some have several. One doctor I know has a phone a company provided blackberry and an iPhone (that he purchased). Other than email he uses no company apps on either device. Blackberries are great but there aren't great tools or many built in capabilities.
In stark contrast there is android. Third party commercial apps are encouraged. Corporate apps are enabled. The prize money is an awesome idea. This is the phone I can write apps for. This is the phone I want to write apps for.
Second, this is the phone I want to use. I've been a Palm user since the PalmPilot. Whats wrong with the Treo, Centro and TX? Lousy web browser. At best, Pocket Explorer is only moderately better. Anroid provides a great browser, based on webkit, which Apple uses for iPhone, that features touch scrolling and zoom. Just like the iPhone. 3D graphics and even a web history interface that looks exactly like iPhones 'coverflow'. Its ironic that the proprietary features that make iPhone great are freely available to third party developers from Google. Jobs must be hoppin' mad. I dont want a iPhone. This is the phone I want to use.
For Microsoft this whole thing has got to be embarrassing. The rumors on the blogs say the MS has known about most of this for more than a year. Pocket 6 has only moderate improvements and is not competitive with android. Anders and Erik need to figure a way to make C# and VB devs productive in the mobile space. MS loves a fight and Google has fired a devastating volley of strategic missles at Pocket PC land. The Pocket platform is going the way of Palm OS unless MS responds.
Symbian. Time to go quietly into the night or perhaps go cower in a corner. LG and Motorola two of Nokias big partners in Symbian are signed up for android. Realistically, small marketshare OSs with few apps are not gonna play well here. Apps are what make platforms. Not the other way around.
Sun ... shut up. So Google didn't go through the JCP first. So what? Apps that run on Java and apps written in Java are your friend.
Thursday, September 6, 2007
Apple deserves praise for its latest product announcements! Lopping $200 of the price of the iPhone was a smart move strategically(long term) and tactically(short term). The iPhone lineup is now complete and strong. From entry level $80 to iPhone at $399. The stars are the Nano at $199 and the touch at $299.
Determined competitors are lurking, however, ready to attack. These fall into three categories. Phone makers, music player companies and titans.
Nokia, Sony, LG and Motorola mostly care about phones (and phone usability and design) and view music players as a nice feature to drive sales and protect market share. They are the most pressing threat. Sony w580i (here) and Nokia n95 (coming packing 8 gig fo internal memory) are ready to fight. Price points are critical for these. The cell phone guys lack capable marketing and good software both on the phone and on the desktop. But hardware they have nailed. Will Apple ever produce phones this sleek?
Music player makers ... these guys just need to add screens and software! Sandisk, iRiver and Creative already offer players with more memory for less money. If they could just buy the same screen as iPod nano has and get some desktop software they'd be set!
The titans ... both Google and MS have to keep that gray hair growing on Mr. Jobs head. A Google phone is coming. Probably for between $25 and $250. Google clearly wants 25 to 30 million units to be sold. They'll want to drive adoption in the third world ... especially Africa (where cell phone use is booming) and Central and South America. The flagship model will probably be $50 and feature a keyboard and good Google software. A nightmare scenario for Apple is Google deciding to open a music store.
Lastly whay will MS do. Sometimes MS will fight a battle just to stay in the midshare of its users and audience. If Google comes MS will unleash a total assault. Will they cancel Zune and empower (acquire) one of the MP3 makers like Creative or iRiver so they can battle Apple? They already have phone partners.
Bottom line ... apple dominates today but cannot continue to do so for very long.
Determined competitors are lurking, however, ready to attack. These fall into three categories. Phone makers, music player companies and titans.
Nokia, Sony, LG and Motorola mostly care about phones (and phone usability and design) and view music players as a nice feature to drive sales and protect market share. They are the most pressing threat. Sony w580i (here) and Nokia n95 (coming packing 8 gig fo internal memory) are ready to fight. Price points are critical for these. The cell phone guys lack capable marketing and good software both on the phone and on the desktop. But hardware they have nailed. Will Apple ever produce phones this sleek?
Music player makers ... these guys just need to add screens and software! Sandisk, iRiver and Creative already offer players with more memory for less money. If they could just buy the same screen as iPod nano has and get some desktop software they'd be set!
The titans ... both Google and MS have to keep that gray hair growing on Mr. Jobs head. A Google phone is coming. Probably for between $25 and $250. Google clearly wants 25 to 30 million units to be sold. They'll want to drive adoption in the third world ... especially Africa (where cell phone use is booming) and Central and South America. The flagship model will probably be $50 and feature a keyboard and good Google software. A nightmare scenario for Apple is Google deciding to open a music store.
Lastly whay will MS do. Sometimes MS will fight a battle just to stay in the midshare of its users and audience. If Google comes MS will unleash a total assault. Will they cancel Zune and empower (acquire) one of the MP3 makers like Creative or iRiver so they can battle Apple? They already have phone partners.
Bottom line ... apple dominates today but cannot continue to do so for very long.
Sunday, September 2, 2007
Plaxo rocks
Plaxo is outstanding app. Joseph Smarr Plaxo's chief architect and the "smart guy" there gives an excellent talk on Javascript performance on YUI theater.
Why Apple IPhone cannot succeed!!
Once again, Apple has introduced a great product ... iPhone ... that no one will buy! At most, Apple will gain about 1 percent of the cell phone handset business. They've got about 2 percent of the PC business (some claim its 3 percent) and have no realistic hope of gaining any more PC market share. The same situation is true for the iPhone. Why? There are two reasons.
1. The price is wrong! Simply stated ... they've priced themselves out of the market ... they will never get large scale adoption at $600 dollars per phone. Never! Not when most people are getting very nice phones, subsidized by carriers, for $50 and $100. No Way! They can't introduce a lower priced model because they'd completely burn they entire Apple fanboy/stepford population that is the entire market they sell to now. Price is only a small impediment or no barrier at all for these Apple wackos. Sadly for Apple Inc. the apple geek/nut case crowd (which includes the mayor of Philadelphia) are less than 1 percent of the handset population. So yeah, they'll camp out but everybody else thinks they're crazy for do so.
Also, the crazed Apple fan phenomenon tends to be pretty much a uniquely American thing. Apple is well aware of this. Did you notice that Apple took a nice long while before they even introduced iPhone in Europe. That was no accident. There will be very little of the all night vigils in Europe of iPhone and almost none in asia.
2. Its not that great of a phone. Its got a great web browser, but the main thing people do with a cell phone is reach in their pocket, enter numbers and place a call. Grandmoms do it easily, with no training. Its the chief purpose of the device. With the iPhone its not super easy to do that as its primary use. This simple fact harms adoption. Even Jobs acknowledges this. He said in his keynote that dialing numbers on a keypad was archaic and needs to be updated by voice dialing and visual voicemail. Sorry Steve-o the keypad on a cell phone is just an example of a great UI. Simple, intuitive and effective.
Unlike the PC marketplace, the handset market is filled with strong competitors reading their attack plans. Multiple OSes, handset designs and form factors. Nokia, LG, Samsung, RIM and a host of smaller manufacturers offering Linux based handsets with touch screen interfaces remarkably similar to iPhone. All of these are less expensive than Apples product and are coming to the market in a steady stream day by day.
Apple has a software problem. The main advantage iPhone has is software. As Bill Gates put it .. the "magic sauce" in iPhone is software. For years now, Microsoft has been giving Pocket PC users a horrible version of IE in their hansets. Apple saw this and provided an excellent browser in iPhone. This enables a great broswer experience over wifi and a really nice email app. Opera has been doing the same thing for years in relative obscurity and with no marketshare. Its time for somebody like Nokia, Palm or maybe Google to acquire Opera and go to war with a simple, inexpensive handset with wifi and a great browser. And dont forget Microsoft. Pocket PC was all but unusable when it began its existence but MS saw Palm as threat and focused on defeating that threat. Now, after being embarrassed by Safari in iPhone ... MS , in 6 months I predict, will have an excellent browser in Pocket PC devices. Google is coming too. Unlike Apple, Google only wants only massive worldwide adoption. They aren't interested in 200 percent markup on each unit sold. They want to sell 15 million units and would love it if 10 million of those units were in Africa where cell phone adoption is soaring. Two Google moves are telling. The acquisition of Grandcentral.com provided a great voicemail, contact list solution that is software based and hence scalable to worldwide proportions ... twenty, 40 or 50 million new users - no problem (MSs purchase of tellme networks was a smart defensive move). Second, Google has been showing telcos mock ups of a simple gPhone. Free or very inexpensive for users ($25-$50 ... similar to current prepaid phones) ... free add supported calling ... a simple broswer to allow text searches, email, phone directory pages searches and text chat ... and a voice recognition software based (think scalable) directory service. If they include wifi, which the small hardware vendors they've talked to likely will .. who will buy an iPhone?
Even the Apple fanboy wackos will say why did I give Apple $600 for this? when they glance over at the person sitting next to them on the train using a $25 gPhone to look up Apple's sinking stock price.
1. The price is wrong! Simply stated ... they've priced themselves out of the market ... they will never get large scale adoption at $600 dollars per phone. Never! Not when most people are getting very nice phones, subsidized by carriers, for $50 and $100. No Way! They can't introduce a lower priced model because they'd completely burn they entire Apple fanboy/stepford population that is the entire market they sell to now. Price is only a small impediment or no barrier at all for these Apple wackos. Sadly for Apple Inc. the apple geek/nut case crowd (which includes the mayor of Philadelphia) are less than 1 percent of the handset population. So yeah, they'll camp out but everybody else thinks they're crazy for do so.
Also, the crazed Apple fan phenomenon tends to be pretty much a uniquely American thing. Apple is well aware of this. Did you notice that Apple took a nice long while before they even introduced iPhone in Europe. That was no accident. There will be very little of the all night vigils in Europe of iPhone and almost none in asia.
2. Its not that great of a phone. Its got a great web browser, but the main thing people do with a cell phone is reach in their pocket, enter numbers and place a call. Grandmoms do it easily, with no training. Its the chief purpose of the device. With the iPhone its not super easy to do that as its primary use. This simple fact harms adoption. Even Jobs acknowledges this. He said in his keynote that dialing numbers on a keypad was archaic and needs to be updated by voice dialing and visual voicemail. Sorry Steve-o the keypad on a cell phone is just an example of a great UI. Simple, intuitive and effective.
Unlike the PC marketplace, the handset market is filled with strong competitors reading their attack plans. Multiple OSes, handset designs and form factors. Nokia, LG, Samsung, RIM and a host of smaller manufacturers offering Linux based handsets with touch screen interfaces remarkably similar to iPhone. All of these are less expensive than Apples product and are coming to the market in a steady stream day by day.
Apple has a software problem. The main advantage iPhone has is software. As Bill Gates put it .. the "magic sauce" in iPhone is software. For years now, Microsoft has been giving Pocket PC users a horrible version of IE in their hansets. Apple saw this and provided an excellent browser in iPhone. This enables a great broswer experience over wifi and a really nice email app. Opera has been doing the same thing for years in relative obscurity and with no marketshare. Its time for somebody like Nokia, Palm or maybe Google to acquire Opera and go to war with a simple, inexpensive handset with wifi and a great browser. And dont forget Microsoft. Pocket PC was all but unusable when it began its existence but MS saw Palm as threat and focused on defeating that threat. Now, after being embarrassed by Safari in iPhone ... MS , in 6 months I predict, will have an excellent browser in Pocket PC devices. Google is coming too. Unlike Apple, Google only wants only massive worldwide adoption. They aren't interested in 200 percent markup on each unit sold. They want to sell 15 million units and would love it if 10 million of those units were in Africa where cell phone adoption is soaring. Two Google moves are telling. The acquisition of Grandcentral.com provided a great voicemail, contact list solution that is software based and hence scalable to worldwide proportions ... twenty, 40 or 50 million new users - no problem (MSs purchase of tellme networks was a smart defensive move). Second, Google has been showing telcos mock ups of a simple gPhone. Free or very inexpensive for users ($25-$50 ... similar to current prepaid phones) ... free add supported calling ... a simple broswer to allow text searches, email, phone directory pages searches and text chat ... and a voice recognition software based (think scalable) directory service. If they include wifi, which the small hardware vendors they've talked to likely will .. who will buy an iPhone?
Even the Apple fanboy wackos will say why did I give Apple $600 for this? when they glance over at the person sitting next to them on the train using a $25 gPhone to look up Apple's sinking stock price.
Tuesday, January 2, 2007
Javascript like JSP provides a sensation dev environment
Javascript is so simple for a developer to learn and use ... any text editor ... some HTML ... and boom ... you're done ... a cool applicaton. Every site that wants be useful should provide API's that expose their base functioanlity.
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